Forecasting China’s strategy in the Middle East over the next four years

Invading Mexico will not effectively resolve the cartel problem and may worsen existing issues, such as migration and international relations. Military incursions could undermine bilateral cooperation and fail to yield strategic success, posing significant risks to U.S. interests, per commentary from Cato Institute.

Manufacturing employment growth in the U.S. has been modest since returning to pre-pandemic levels, indicating underlying weaknesses. This trend suggests that while some gains are highlighted, broad improvements for middle-class workers remain elusive, per commentary from Peterson Institute for International Economics.

President-elect Trump’s proposed tariffs will significantly raise prices for many imported goods, especially electronics, machinery, and vehicles. These changes will put financial pressure on American consumers and businesses alike, per commentary from Peterson Institute for International Economics.  

• William A. Galston and Elaine Kamarck at Brookings discuss the importance of presidential debates in addressing voter concerns, highlighting Kamala Harris's effort to define herself and correct misconceptions about her political stance and capabilities.
• The commentary asserts that Donald Trump's debate performance was inconsistent, often veering off-topic and failing to broaden his appeal beyond his base, indicating a potential challenge for his campaign in attracting new supporters.

• James Pethokoukis at American Enterprise Institute writes that the newly announced Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, will act as an external consulting group to the Trump White House, aiming to provide recommendations to streamline government operations by July 4, 2026.

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• The commentary argues that Washington policymakers should examine actionable proposals for improving healthcare, Social Security, and tax reform. These policies emphasize market incentives, fiscal responsibility, and economic growth, as discussed in the AEI report "A Balanced Plan for Fiscal Stability and Economic Growth."