Brookings
·
Published
November 21, 2024

The dollar and global markets after the US election

Leans Left
Commentary
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Share this article

Summary

The U.S. dollar has seen a moderate increase since Donald Trump's election victory, reflecting expectations of fiscal easing and stronger growth. A larger surge in dollar strength may occur if tariffs are imposed on China, potentially leading to significant global financial impacts, per commentary from Brookings.

The U.S. dollar has seen a moderate increase since Donald Trump's election victory, reflecting expectations of fiscal easing and stronger growth. A larger surge in dollar strength may occur if tariffs are imposed on China, potentially leading to significant global financial impacts, per commentary from Brookings.

The issue:  

The dollar's rise is influenced by investor expectations of U.S. fiscal policy changes, similar to trends observed after the 2016 election. A potential new phase of dollar strength could emerge with tariffs on China, risking severe depreciation in emerging markets and affecting commodity prices.

What they recommend:  

No recommendations provided in the commentary.

Go deeper:  

The report highlights a historical precedent from 2018, where U.S. tariffs led to a comparable fall of the yuan against the dollar, affecting global markets negatively. Tariffs could prompt China to buy more U.S. goods, potentially harming countries like Brazil and the EU, which heavily export to China. This dynamic could tighten global financial conditions, increasing risks for the U.S. economy.

This is a brief overview of a commentary from Brookings. For complete insights, we recommend reading the full commentary.

Related articles

All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
All Topics
Breaking Down the Biden Administration’s National Rent Stabilization Proposal
Urban Institute
·
Nov 18, 2023

Breaking Down the Biden Administration’s National Rent Stabilization Proposal

Summary
  • Urban Institute experts write that the Biden administration's rent stabilization proposal aims to cap annual rent increases at 5% for units owned by large landlords, conditioned on maintaining existing tax breaks, aiming to stabilize housing and protect tenants from eviction or displacement.
  • The experts argue that while the proposal could make more units affordable for low-income residents, it may also reduce the overall supply of rental units as landlords might convert properties or avoid entering the market, potentially driving up rents for uncontrolled units.
Liberal
Policy Analysis
·
U.S. Economy
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Is Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in the presidential race?
Brookings
·
Nov 18, 2023

Is Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in the presidential race?

Summary
  • Experts at Brookings argue that Kamala Harris has regained lost ground for the Democrats, erasing the "enthusiasm gap" and leading in both national and key swing state polls against Donald Trump.
  • They examine the reliability of poll averages, highlighting historical underestimation of Trump’s support and the necessity for Harris to maintain significant momentum to secure victory.
Leans Left
Commentary
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Kamala Harris’s chances in November could hinge on a women’s voting surge
Brookings
·
Nov 18, 2023

Kamala Harris’s chances in November could hinge on a women’s voting surge

Summary
  • William H. Frey at Brookings argues that Vice President Kamala Harris's nomination as the Democratic presidential candidate has invigorated the race, with a particular impact on female voters who have historically supported Democratic candidates.

  • The analysis reviews that women's votes were crucial in recent elections, highlighting how post-Roe v. Wade changes and Harris’s advocacy on women's issues could lead to a significant voting surge, potentially favoring her in the 2024 election.
Leans Left
Commentary
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Trump has big plans for climate and energy policy, but can he implement them?
Brookings
·
Nov 18, 2023

Trump has big plans for climate and energy policy, but can he implement them?

Summary
  • Samantha Gross and Louison Sall at Brookings argue that Donald Trump advocates for a shift in U.S. energy policy, focusing on fossil fuels, reducing regulations, and opposing renewable energy initiatives to lower energy costs and achieve "energy dominance."
  • The article asserts that Trump's ability to implement his energy agenda depends on Congress and the courts, with recent Supreme Court decisions potentially aiding his deregulatory efforts in a second term.
Leans Left
Commentary
·
2024 U.S. Elections
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
Why does building and maintaining highways in the US cost so much?
Brookings
·
Nov 18, 2023

Why does building and maintaining highways in the US cost so much?

Summary
  • Comfort Oshagbemi and David Wessel at Brookings examine why the U.S. spends substantially more on transportation infrastructure compared to other countries, highlighting limited state DOT capacity and over-reliance on consultants as key cost-drivers.
  • The authors argue that limited competition and insufficient bidder outreach in the market for government construction contracts contribute to higher infrastructure costs in the U.S., and increasing bidder outreach and improving project planning can significantly reduce these costs.
Leans Left
Research
·
U.S. Economy
Read summary
(1 min.)
-->
No results found.
Original Read Time
9 min
Organization
The Brookings Institution
Category
Israel-Gaza War
Political Ideology
Center Left

We make expert analysis of current events
simple and accessible for all.

Join us in elevating our public discourse.