Forecasting China’s strategy in the Middle East over the next four years

Contrary to optimistic stock market signals, global economic troubles are intensifying, especially in the U.S. and China, with looming challenges in public finance and property markets, per commentary from American Enterprise Institute.

Cutting federal government spending under the Trump administration may harm essential public services, creating significant backlash from citizens. Disruption caused by deep cuts could lead to political repercussions, complicating the government's efficiency goals, per commentary from Brookings.

With Donald Trump's potential return to the White House, global partners must adapt to a shift toward an "America First" foreign policy. This approach prioritizes U.S. interests and presents a more unpredictable stance towards international relations, per commentary from Center for Strategic and International Studies.

The world trading system faces significant challenges due to proposed tariffs by the U.S. president, notably a 60% tariff on China. These actions threaten to disrupt global trade and create tensions among member nations, as they debate their responses to this situation, per commentary from Peterson Institute for International Economics. 

The potential for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan poses a significant challenge to U.S. national security. A successful invasion would not only oppress the Taiwanese people but also expand China's influence across East Asia, threatening regional stability, per commentary from RAND Corporation.